Protecting our Great Water

LSTM Forecasts · Chesapeake Bay · NO₂ & O₃ · 2026

Mode
Pollutant
Model
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Predicted NO₂ (µg/m³)418
481218

Cyan = lower concentration · red = higher concentration

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Model Architecture

Dual-Head LSTM

24-hour sequence input with masking, shared recurrent trunk, and separate output heads for NO₂ and O₃ scaled with RobustScaler.

Data Sources

Pandora · AERONET · VIIRS

Ground-level Pandora spectrometers, AERONET sun-photometers, and VIIRS AOD satellite layer — fused into an hourly 0.1° grid.

Validation

Q1 2026 Holdout

Strict chronological split: training 2018–2024, validation 2025, test Jan–Mar 2026. No future data ever seen during training.

Model Diagnostics

Additional Graphs

Taylor diagrams, actual-vs-predicted heatmaps, time-series analysis, and cross-model R² comparisons across NO₂ and O₃.

Explore GraphsTaylor diagramsHexbin heatmapsLSTM vs baselines